Exit polls
poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations
An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters – usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters – conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take many hours to count.
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Quotes
edit- The forecasting methods used in three different contexts are described:
- Predictions of the result before the election takes place using opinion-poll series and other data
- Predictions of the result as soon as the polling stations close using exit polls and other techniques
- Predictions of the final outcome on election night itself using the subset of actual results declared
- According to Clive Payne, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, UK Election Forecasting in the UK (November 28, 2001)